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Grade 7 Math lesson plan: Probability of chance events

Topic: Probability of chance events from 0 to 1, experiments and simple models (7.SP.C.5-7). Adjust the settings, then copy the prompt.

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Planning notes for this lesson

Prerequisite skills to check: writing fractions, decimals and percents for the same amount (6.RP.A.3c); reading and summarizing data in tables and dot plots (6.SP.B.4); simplifying fractions.

Key vocabulary: probability, outcome, event, sample space, likely, unlikely, equally likely, experimental probability, theoretical probability, relative frequency.

Warm-up idea: Hold up a paper cup and ask whether it will land on its side, open end up or open end down when tossed. Take guesses, then have pairs toss a cup 20 times and pool the class results on the board.

Exit ticket idea: Students place five events on a 0-to-1 probability line, find the theoretical probability of rolling a 3 or a 6 on a number cube, predict how many times it happens in 600 rolls, and explain why a class experiment of 30 rolls might not match the prediction.

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